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The Citizens’ Jury on Assisted Dying – How Not to Do Deliberative Democracy 

Author: Pravar Petkar, Head of Strengthening Democracy Desk Have we found the solution to navigating assisted dying in England? The recent citizens’ jury on assisted dying, organised by the Nuffield Council on Bioethics, would appear to suggest so. Yet, research suggests that though a welcome innovation, the jury instead shows us how not to do deliberative democracy. This is down to the lack of a pathway to influence Government, the limited public awareness of the process and its small scale. This apparent failure should not put us off, but instead encourage further experiments on new ways to do democracy.  What are citizens’ juries?  A citizens’ jury is a three-stage process in which a randomly selected group of citizens comes together to learn about an issue, deliberate upon it and produce recommendations for policymakers. It is usually regarded as a smaller version of a citizens’ assembly, following the same process in a shorter time and with fewer participants. Citizens’ juries are examples of deliberative and participatory democracy: they rely on directly bringing citizens into the policy process to come to reasoned conclusions.  What did this citizens’ jury decide?  The jury members agreed that the law should change to permit assisted dying in England where adults with decision-making capacity are terminally ill. This could be either through physician-assisted suicide or voluntary euthanasia. This follows the introduction of a Private Members’ Bill on assisted dying into the House of Lords, and a similar Bill into the Scottish Parliament. The Lords’ Bill is expected to be withdrawn, as a Bill is to be introduced into the House of Commons on 16 October 2024.  Best practice: the Irish case  The best example of a deliberative exercise on a morally controversial issue is the Ireland Citizens’ Assembly on abortion, which took place between 2016 and 2018. 99 randomly selected citizens came together as an independent body established by the Irish Parliament for five structured weekends, at the end of which they produced a series of recommendations. Each weekend featured expert presentations and the consideration of submissions from members of the public, followed by structured roundtable discussions on specific issues. A committee of both chambers of the Irish Parliament considered the assembly’s recommendations to replace the constitutional ban on abortion with a provision allowing Parliament to legislate on the matter. The proposal was approved by Parliament, and then the people in a referendum on 25 May 2018. The evidence sessions were broadcast to the public, providing objective information for the referendum vote and creating wide awareness of the assembly process.  The Jersey case: success closer to home  Deliberative democracy has already been tried in the UK on the matter of assisted dying. In 2021, a citizen’s jury met in Jersey to provide its legislators with a detailed community response to the medical, ethical, legal and regulatory issues involved in permitting assisted dying. Following ten sessions of learning and deliberation, each lasting between 2 and 2.5 hours, the citizens’ jury recommended that assisted dying be permitted for Jersey residents aged 18 or over with a terminal illness or who were experiencing unbearable suffering. The citizens’ jury discussed a series of safeguards for the process, including a pre-approval process, the necessary involvement of medical professionals and the rights of those professionals to be conscientious objectors to the procedure. Two months’ later, Jersey’s legislature (the States Assembly) approved the availability of ‘assisted dying’ in principle. A Bill to allow assisted dying is now being drafted.  What went wrong in England?  Since both the Ireland citizens’ assembly and the citizens’ jury in Jersey were successful in both driving change and meaningfully engaging citizens, it seems logical to repeat the exercise in England, as the Nuffield Council on Bioethics did. Despite this, there are three design issues with the citizens’ jury that reduce its effectiveness and legitimacy:  No clear pathway for the jury’s recommendations to influence Parliament.  Where citizens’ juries are set up by institutions external to the official decision-making process, there is no guarantee that decision-makers will consider the jury’s recommendations, still less that they will follow them. The most successful citizens’ juries in the UK have been initiated by local councils which have then directly implemented the recommendations.  Limited public awareness of the process.  A crucial factor in both the Irish case and the citizens’ jury in Jersey was the public awareness around the process. This occurred through making the learning sessions of the deliberative process publicly available. In Jersey, moreover, the citizens’ jury followed an e-petition and an online public survey. Yet in England, only the results of the jury have been covered in the media, with seemingly little public information on the topics and experts who presented. It is difficult to view it as a genuinely ‘national’ conversation.  The scale of the citizens’ jury was perhaps too small.  The citizens’ jury on assisted dying in England had 30 participants. This is slightly bigger than Jersey’s citizens’ jury, but a third of the size of Ireland’s citizens’ assembly. Even though the 30 participants were randomly selected by an objectively fair algorithm, many might doubt that there were enough participants to genuinely represent the views of over 55m people.   The need for further experiments  No process of experimentation or innovation has a 100% success rate; partial successes and errors are valuable in pointing in the right direction. The citizens’ jury on assisted dying in England plays a role like this, identifying some pitfalls to avoid as the country mulls over this complex issue. Yet there is enough evidence from elsewhere in the world to suggest we are barking up the right tree. Further deliberative exercises taking into account some of the issues raised here will benefit us, not only in resolving the issue of assisted dying but in crafting a more effective British democracy. 

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Should India’s ‘One Nation’ have One Election? 

Author: Pravar Petkar, Head of Strengthening Democracy Desk How do you conduct elections in the world’s largest democracy? A new proposal by the Indian Government, called ‘One Nation, One Election’ says, “all at once”. Indian elections today are like a feast with an endless number of courses, coming one after the other. The ‘One Nation, One Election’ scheme initially aims to synchronise national and state elections to a fixed period every 5 years. Though it will certainly make elections more efficient, the proposals raise questions about whether local issues will be sidelined and the accountability of state legislators to their constituents.  What will it involve?  Elections for the Lok Sabha (the lower house of the national parliament) and the Vidhan Sabha (state legislatures) occur every five years, but not at the same time. Following the 2024 General Election, there will be state elections in Jammu & Kashmir, Haryana, Maharashtra and Jharkhand before the year is out. The ‘One Nation, One Election’ scheme would synchronise all state and national elections across the country initially; a proposed second phase would also synchronise some municipal elections, though some local bodies have different term lengths.  Fewer elections, more governance  India’s elections are some of the costliest in the world, not least because of their size and scale: for the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, the Finance Ministry requested an additional Rs 3,147.92 crore (around £282m) for election-related expenses, and Rs 73.67 crore (around £6.6m) to cover the Election Commission of India’s administration costs. The report of the High-Level Committee on ‘One Nation, One Election’ claims the cost of holding Lok Sabha and Vidhan Sabha elections in the current format is Rs 4,500 crore (around £402m). It did not indicate how much might be saved through simultaneous elections, though identifies scope for savings on administrative expenses, transporting voting machines and re-deploying people from other jobs to assist with election conduct. This should be welcomed as long as election integrity is not compromised.  When elections take place in India, governance stops. This is because of the Model Code of Conduct, a set of rules governing what parties, candidates and incumbent governments can and cannot do. It ensures incumbents cannot use the state’s power to unduly influence voters during the campaign, a necessity in a country where welfare schemes are crucial to politics at all levels. The Code prohibits new financial grants, the initiation of new projects, promises to construct roads and even the provision of drinking water facilities. Ongoing welfare projects can continue only if work has already started. Other projects, including some forms of emergency relief, require the Election Commission’s permission to proceed. Several political parties (both national and regional ones) reported to the High-Level Committee that many days of governance were lost because of the frequent imposition of the Code, with a reported 307 days lost in Maharashtra between 2016 and 2017. Although the Code is a necessary safeguard, streamlining its imposition can safeguard democracy and ensure the conditions for local growth.  National issues may dominate over local ones  Some critics see the proposal for simultaneous elections as a threat to India’s federal system. However, India’s central Election Commission holds responsibility for Vidhan Sabha elections, and none of the proposals made affect states’ powers or the status of their legislatures. There are questions whether synchronising elections will sideline local issues in favour of national ones. The High-Level Committee itself reports that in 24 out of 31 previous instances of simultaneous elections between 1989 and 2014, the major parties had similar polling numbers in the Lok Sabha and Vidhan Sabha. This trend continued in 2024: the Bharatiya Janata Party and the state incumbent Biju Janata Dal returned similar numbers in both the national and state elections in Odisha, whilst the Telugu Desam Party came out on top in Andhra Pradesh in both votes. The 2024 UK local elections show how national and international issues – here, the Israel-Palestine conflict – can shape local politics in some areas. In campaigning for the Haryana state elections, Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath sought to garner votes for the BJP by focusing on the revocation of Art 370 in Jammu & Kashmir and the construction of the Ram Temple in Ayodhya, despite neither of these relating to local issues. Simultaneous elections will only worsen this state of affairs.  Fixed-term parliaments risk deadlock and disempowerment  Simultaneous elections also require the parliamentary term to be fixed at no more – and crucially no less (in ordinary circumstances) – than five years. State legislatures can lodge a Vote of No Confidence in their governments if they do not hit the mark. If this passes on a simple majority, the Governor must invite the second-largest party to form a new government. Although a Vidhan Sabha can be dissolved mid-term, this would not ‘reset the clock’ under the new proposals: the newly elected legislature would sit only until the next simultaneous election period. With an inevitable election at fixed intervals and coalition government the norm, the incentive for an early election to seek a fresh mandate from the people will vanish – instead, there will be more ‘horse trading’ within the legislature if coalitions break down, where parties might compromise on their manifesto commitments. This disempowers voters, who will likely lose the opportunity to influence their representatives during the five-year term, making accountability more challenging. It can also lead to policy deadlock: where coalitions shift, some policies can get stuck, and it may be difficult for governments to find a majority for others, as happened to the UK during the infamous Brexit deadlock of 2017-2019 under its own (now abolished) fixed-term parliamentary system.  Where do we go from here?  Efforts to ensure the efficiency of Indian elections should be encouraged, given their vast scale. Whilst the ‘One Nation, One Election’ proposals as they stand do raise issues for local politics and accountability, careful design can ensure that simultaneous elections can go ahead. First, policymakers must consider how to strengthen local party politics and

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The Future of the Anglican Church: A Schism on the Horizon?

Author: sachin nandha, trustee and director As Christianity shifts its centre of gravity from the West to the Global South, particularly Africa, tensions within the Anglican Church are becoming more pronounced. Philip Jenkins’ The Next Christendom explores the rise of Christianity in regions like Africa, where it is not only growing numerically but also reshaping the theological landscape. This shift is already creating fractures within the Anglican Communion, as conservative African churches and their more liberal counterparts in the UK clash over key issues such as same-sex marriage, gender identity, women bishops, and abortion. Rising Tensions Between African and UK Anglican Churches The Anglican Church in the UK has embraced a progressive stance on many social issues, aligning with the broader secular culture. Policies like the acceptance of same-sex marriage, the ordination of women as bishops, and greater inclusivity of LGBTQ+ individuals reflect a rapidly liberalizing Church. However, these changes are being met with growing resistance from Anglican churches in Africa, where Christian teachings are interpreted much more conservatively. In African countries like Nigeria, Uganda, and Kenya, Anglican churches are increasingly vocal in their opposition to these liberal changes. They argue that , while the UK Church is drifting into heresy. As a result, conservative factions within the UK are finding solace in the African Anglican churches, which they see as the new standard-bearers of Christian truth. These conservative UK Anglicans, disillusioned with the liberal direction of their own Church, are turning to Africa for guidance and theological refuge. The growing influence of African Anglicanism is not just a theological shift but a cultural one. African churches, with their emphasis on more traditional family values, are becoming a powerful counterbalance to the liberal trends in Western Christianity. This shift is poised to influence not only the future of the Anglican Communion but also the political and social landscape in the UK, where religious values continue to shape voter preferences and public policy. African Anglican leaders threaten split from Church of England over same-sex union blessing Pentecostal Influence and Syncretism in African Churches However, the conservative African Anglican churches are not merely a mirror image of their UK counterparts. They carry with them a strong Pentecostal flavour, characterised by vibrant, emotionally charged worship styles that can seem foreign to more restrained Western congregations. Moreover, many African churches incorporate elements of animist traditions, including healing rituals and a focus on spiritual warfare, remnants of pre-Christian belief systems. This syncretism, while common in African contexts, is often viewed with discomfort by European Christians, who are more accustomed to a clear separation between Christianity and indigenous belief systems. Despite these differences, the growing influence of African Anglicanism is undeniable. As UK conservatives increasingly align themselves with African churches, this theological and cultural fusion will shape the future of the Anglican Communion. Political Implications in the UK As the Anglican Church’s centre of gravity shifts towards Africa, the conservative values of African Anglicanism—opposition to same-sex marriage, gender fluidity, and liberal bioethics—will become more prominent within the Anglican community in the UK. These values are likely to influence the political and social landscape in the UK, as religious groups often play a critical role in shaping voter behaviour and public policy. For example, UK politicians seeking the support of conservative Christian voters may find themselves pressured to adopt positions more in line with African Anglican values. This could lead to a reemphasis on traditional family structures, a renewed focus on religious freedom, and a pushback against progressive social policies. As African churches gain influence within the global Anglican Communion, their conservative stance on social issues may drive political changes in the UK. Conservatives find home at African churches. Christianity in India: Syncretism and the Risk of Absorption India presents a different but equally complex picture of how Christianity is evolving. With its long history of religious plurality, India is home to a rich tapestry of faith traditions, including Christianity. The faith has existed in India since the arrival of St. Thomas in the first century, and today, India’s Christian population is growing, especially in the southern and northeastern states. Like Africa, Christianity in India often blends with local religious traditions. In many cases, Christian worship incorporates elements of Hindu traditions, such as the use of oil lamps, flowers, and incense. This syncretism reflects the adaptability of Christianity in India’s diverse religious landscape, but it also raises concerns among Western clergy. Many Western Anglican leaders worry that if Christianity in India becomes too syncretic, it risks being absorbed into the wider Hindu pantheon, potentially becoming yet another Hindu sect rather than maintaining a distinct religious identity. These concerns stem from the fear that if clear boundaries are not drawn, Christianity will lose its doctrinal purity and autonomy in the Indian religious context. Western clergy often argue that without these boundaries, Christianity in India could be diluted to the point where it is indistinguishable from the surrounding religious milieu. However, this insistence on maintaining clear boundaries creates tensions between communities that might otherwise coexist peacefully. In regions where religious syncretism is a natural part of the cultural fabric, imposing rigid distinctions between Christianity and Hindu traditions could lead to social fragmentation. Communities that have traditionally found common ground through shared religious practices may be forced into a more divisive dynamic, as efforts to maintain Christian distinctiveness disrupt local traditions. To allow syncretism or not to allow: for that is the question. A Dilemma for the Church: Boundary Drawing vs. Natural Integration The Church faces a dilemma: by drawing clear theological boundaries, it risks fostering division and increasing tension in pluralistic societies like India. On the other hand, allowing Christianity to evolve more naturally in these contexts, embracing syncretism where it arises, may lead to greater harmony between religious communities but at the cost of doctrinal clarity. Some argue that the Church’s efforts to impose stricter boundaries may actually cause the very tensions it seeks to avoid. By allowing Christianity in India to unfold organically, the faith could

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Citizens’ assemblies: miracle cure, or much ado about nothing? 

Author: Pravar Petkar, Head of Strengthening Democracy Desk Is British democracy working? Surveys show that satisfaction with democracy in the UK has nosedived since 2021. This should not be surprising: in our system of ‘popular rule’, all we do is cast votes every few years, with no way to intervene as our basic public services continue to struggle. What if we put the people back into the process of running our country, to make government more responsive to popular concerns? Citizens’ assemblies are one way of doing this. Ongoing research at the International Centre for Sustainability suggests that we should make more use of them in the UK: they can cut through thorny moral issues, provide objective information to the public and show consensus. Yet being difficult to get right, they are no miracle cure.  Why get the public involved in the first place?  Citizens’ assemblies bring together a randomly selected sample of citizens to learn about an issue, deliberate on it and make recommendations. Some believe they can “work wonders” and restore trust in politics. By bringing citizens into the political process, citizens’ assemblies can give people the skills and desire to participate more, making them more invested in how our society is run. They enable us to give direction to our representatives on key issues and review what they do for us, without being dragged into party politics. For those who say that this simply isn’t how we do democracy in the UK, we should look beyond our borders: India, for example, has a long-standing tradition of citizen deliberation at village level, through a rural assembly called a gram sabha.  What are the benefits of citizens’ assemblies?  There are four good reasons to use citizens’ assemblies:  They can help to resolve morally controversial issues.  They can provide an objective information base for public votes.  They can help to articulate consensus for major changes.  They can be used at local levels to drive regeneration projects.  This is shown from experience within and outside the UK. In Ireland, a citizens’ assembly was used to recommend the removal of constitutional provisions prohibiting abortion. More recently, an assembly in Jersey on assisted dying made recommendations that are now being translated into law. This is especially relevant to the rest of the UK, with Bills recently introduced into the Scottish Parliament and the House of Lords on the matter. Parts of the Irish Assembly were broadcast live, giving the public vital information for their vote in a 2018 referendum on the matter – a far cry from the UK’s experience with Brexit in 2016. The Irish example also shows how citizens’ assemblies can articulate a social consensus out of a public desire for reform – an encouraging sign for issues such as House of Lords reform. The citizens’ assembly model has also been successfully transposed into local contexts (often termed a ‘citizens’ jury’), with deliberative exercises in Romsey (2018) and Newham (2021) shaping local policy on town centre usage and developing green spaces respectively.  Where have citizens’ assemblies not worked?  The worldwide practice of citizens’ assemblies demonstrates three potential issues:  A remit that is too broad.  No clear pathway to influence elected politicians.  Self-selection of those who are already politically engaged.  Our research has found that assemblies which tried to solve too many issues at once – such as the Climate Assembly UK (2020) and the French Citizens’ Convention on the Climate (2019-2020) – were much less successful because they produced general principles and wants rather than specific proposals. They have also been much more effective in influencing policy change when set up by local councils than by parliamentary select committees or external research organisations (such as in a recent citizens’ jury on assisted dying). Yet there is a balance to be struck: where government at all levels is involved, the experts who inform citizens must remain independent. Moreover, because there is no compulsion for invited citizens to actually participate, there is the risk of ‘self-selection’ of those who are already politically engaged or interested in an issue. Emerging technology – such as AI-facilitated online deliberation, as in Taiwan – could address some of these issues.  Why do we need them when we already have the UK Parliament?  Some might say that we don’t need innovation, because we already have a citizens’ assembly in the UK: it is just known as ‘the UK Parliament’. Yet the devil is in the details. A randomly selected sample of citizens, stratified for demographics, will be more representative than the House of Commons (especially considering the cost of parliamentary campaigns). There is no political party representation in a citizens’ assembly. The stakes are also different: the UK Parliament passing legislation creates a finality absent from the advisory – yet potentially powerful – recommendations of a citizens’ assembly. The ‘learning phase’ crucial to citizens’ assemblies, where subject-matter experts share important background information, has no parallel in the parliamentary process. The UK Parliament is undoubtedly an assembly of citizens, but a citizens’ assembly it is not.   The path to democratic reform  There is no doubt that there are other pressing issues to solve in British democracy – our disproportionate electoral system, a lack of effective checks and balances on government and the role of the House of Lords. These all need considered discussion, but that should not stop us from experimenting elsewhere. Citizens’ assemblies, if designed well, can cut through complexity, provide citizens with clear and objective information and crystallise consensus on policy at local, regional and national levels.   

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Landmark Elections in Jammu & Kashmir Begin: What’s at Stake and Why It Matters

Author: Shruti kapil, researcher and mutual dependence desk. The ongoing assembly elections in Jammu and Kashmir (J&K) are not just another political event; they symbolise a turning point in the region’s history. Scheduled to take place in three phases on September 18th, September 25th, and October 1st, these elections are the first since the abrogation of Article 370 in 2019, marking several important changes. This will be the first election held in J&K as a Union Territory, the first without Ladakh, which is now a separate Union Territory, and the first following the completion of the delimitation process. The results, expected on October 8th, are poised to shape the region’s future, making this election especially critical.  Since Article 370 was revoked, J&K’s political landscape has experienced substantial shifts. The region lost its special status, which had granted autonomy with its own Constitution, property rights exclusive to “permanent residents,” and preferential rights in education and employment. Additionally, the state was split into two Union Territories—Jammu and Kashmir, and Ladakh—leading to structural changes that make the upcoming election a key moment to measure public sentiment in this new political environment.  One of the most impactful changes post-abrogation was the delimitation of electoral constituencies. Delimitation refers to the process of redrawing the boundaries of constituencies to ensure equal representation based on population. This process hadn’t taken place in J&K since 1995. The Jammu and Kashmir Reorganization Act of 2019 mandated the creation of additional assembly seats, and as a result, seven new seats were added—six in Jammu and one in Kashmir—altering the political balance. This redistribution is expected to benefit Jammu, which many felt was historically underrepresented.  Despite criticism from regional parties, the delimitation process aims to ensure equal population representation in elections, reinforcing a key aspect of democracy.   Before 2019, J&K’s Assembly had 87 seats: 37 in Jammu, 46 in Kashmir, and 4 in Ladakh, with 24 seats reserved for Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoJK) that remained vacant. Following the delimitation, the J&K Assembly now holds 90 seats—43 for Jammu and 47 for Kashmir—after Ladakh was removed. The redistribution is expected to significantly impact the power dynamics between the two regions.    With around 8.8 million eligible voters, including over 93,000 new voters, turnout is anticipated to be strong. The first phase of the assembly elections on September 18 concluded peacefully, recording a 61% turnout across 24 constituencies. Despite a recent surge in terror attacks, Jammu saw notably high participation, while South Kashmir, once known as a hotbed of militancy and previously prone to boycotts, showed up at the polls. Higher voter participation was observed compared to the 60% turnout in the first phase of the 2014 elections, building anticipation for the upcoming two phases.  Political parties in J&K are divided over Article 370. The National Conference (NC), led by Farooq and Omar Abdullah, and the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) under Mehbooba Mufti, both favour the restoration of Article 370 and statehood. These regional parties argue that the abrogation undermined J&K’s identity and autonomy. On the other side, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) champions the removal of Article 370, claiming it has integrated J&K more fully into India and brought positive changes in governance and development. The Indian National Congress (INC), aligned with NC, is silent on the abrogation. Newer entrants, such as the Apni Party focus on pragmatic governance, with their stances on Article 370 more nuanced.  The table above outlines the key political parties in Jammu and Kashmir, highlighting their stances on Article 370 and the main agendas featured in their manifestos.  This election will also see the Sikh community, traditionally underrepresented, fielding independent candidates for the first time, while former separatists and members of Jamaat-e-Islami*, who historically boycotted elections, are now participating, signalling a significant shift in local politics.   Economic development is a priority for most parties in this election. Despite achieving a 5.7% growth rate from 2014-2022, unemployment, especially among educated youth, is a major concern, with the rate standing at 18.3%, much higher than the national average of 8%. Infrastructure improvements, particularly in road connectivity and electricity, are also central issues, along with addressing agricultural challenges and the rising problem of drug abuse.   As these elections unfold, it remains to be seen how the electorate will respond to the changes that have reshaped their region. The absence of boycott calls, which were common during elections, and the overall improvement in law and order suggest that J&K is entering a new phase of political engagement. While many challenges remain, this election offers an opportunity for the people of Jammu and Kashmir to chart a course towards stability, prosperity, and lasting peace. * Jamaat-e-Islami, formed in the early 1950s, is a socio-political and religious group known for its separatist stance and history of electoral boycotts. It remains controversial and was banned by the Indian government for alleged links with the militant outfit Hizbul Mujahideen.  

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Navigating India’s Path to Unprecedented Growth: A Call to Visionary Leaders

Navigating India’s Path to Unprecedented Growth: A Call to Visionary Leaders Author: sachin nandha, trustee and director India is in a hurry. This was the resounding message at a recent conference where leaders across industries gathered to discuss the nation’s future at the City of London’s Guildhall. As I listened to Adrian Cartwright, Senior Partner at Clifford Chance, and BVR Subrahmanyam, CEO of NITI Aayog, India’s “Do Tank”, it became clear that India stands at a critical juncture in its development journey. The Journey from Low Income to Middle Income India is currently transitioning from a low-income country to a middle-income nation. However, this transition carries the risk of a “middle-income trap,” where economic progress stalls without significant reforms. To avoid this trap, India must aggressively reform its policy framework and invest heavily in capacity building—not just for its civil servants, but also for the public at large. The Imperative for Infrastructure Investment India’s infrastructure is the foundation upon which its future growth will be built. The Union government currently allocates 3.5% of GDP to infrastructure, with the States contributing an additional 3%. However, to achieve its ambitious goals and ensure sustainable growth, India needs to invest 10% of its GDP into infrastructure. This leaves a shortfall of at least 3.5%, which must be filled by international financiers. Historically, international investors have been cautious about investing in India, often citing regulatory hurdles and past negative experiences. However, the landscape is changing. The top two airports in India are now privately owned, serving as a testament to the potential for successful private investment. Mumbai, for instance, requires a staggering $150 billion in infrastructure investment, with $30-40 billion expected from the government and the remainder from private and international investors. India has at least 20 emerging cities that it needs to build – Delhi, Chennai, Bengaluru, Hyderabad, and Karnavati (formerly Ahmedabad) are just to name a few. India’s megacities – this is Mumbai The Role of International Capital Return on Investment (RoI) is the key driver for international capital, and India must focus on minimising risks and providing incentives to attract this capital. Regulatory frameworks are evolving, but more needs to be done. The government needs to move towards monitoring frameworks rather than individual projects, a shift that could streamline processes and reduce bureaucratic delays. This is arguably still the number one challenge still facing international investors. Areas Ripe for Investment India’s infrastructure needs are vast and varied. The civil aviation sector, particularly airports, presents significant opportunities for investment. Road construction, metro projects, and the burgeoning green hydrogen industry are other areas where international capital can play a transformative role. However, perception and history remain barriers. There is a need for consistent messaging and a change in tone from senior government officials, who are now increasingly adopting a more commercial approach to governance. India must also work on marketing itself better to the global investment community, ensuring that its success stories are heard loud and clear. The Green Transition and Infrastructure Resilience As India charts its path towards net-zero emissions, every infrastructure project must be assessed through a net-zero framework. This green transition will inevitably have adverse effects on states reliant on coal, but it also opens new avenues for investment in renewable energy and sustainable infrastructure. A staggering 90% of India’s infrastructure is yet to be built, and 75% of urban infrastructure needs to be rebuilt. This presents a unique opportunity for visionary investors who can think beyond risk management to resilience—building infrastructure that can withstand the unknown challenges of the future. India’s new solar plants The Call to Action India’s growth story is far from complete. The nation still has a long way to go, but the opportunities for those willing to take the leap are immense. For the daring and entrepreneurial, now is the time to navigate and build the investment corridors that will make India’s potential a reality. The International Centre for Sustainability is committed to supporting this journey. Our mission is to build the knowledge, training, and policy centres that will enable India to achieve its ambitious goals. By fostering a deeper understanding of India’s development landscape and providing the tools necessary to navigate it, we aim to create an environment where visionary leaders can thrive and drive the next phase of India’s growth. India is ready. The question is, are we ready to jump in and help 20% of the world’s population?

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Travelling 200 Years in 4 Hours: A Journey Across Arunachal and Assam

Author: sachin nandha, trustee and director India is still incredibly poor. It’s a stark reality that I couldn’t ignore as I travelled across the north-eastern states of Arunachal Pradesh and Assam. Despite the glittering towers and booming industries in India’s metropolitan centres, there’s another India—an India that feels like it belongs to a different century. This journey took me from the relatively developed yet fragmented plains of Assam to the remote, almost untouched hills of Arunachal Pradesh, where the contrast between progress and stagnation is palpable. The Three Centuries Model: A Snapshot of India Imagine traversing three centuries in the span of just four hours. That’s exactly what it felt like on my road trip from Dibrugarh, Assam, through the thick jungles and rugged hills of Arunachal Pradesh. In urban India, it’s easy to forget that not everyone is part of the rapid economic growth the country has seen over the past few decades. But as you move from the bustling streets of Dibrugarh into the dense forests and steep slopes of Arunachal, you quickly realise that many parts of India are still living in a world that resembles the 19th century more than the 21st. India’s growth is not inclusive. The country has certainly made significant strides, with a GDP growth rate that rivals some of the world’s largest economies. But this growth hasn’t reached everyone. The Three Centuries Model is a useful way to understand this: in places like Mumbai or Bengaluru, you might feel like you’re in the 21st century, surrounded by technology and modern infrastructure. In smaller towns like Dibrugarh, it’s more like the 20th century, with basic infrastructure, huge divides between the wealthy and the poor, and a struggle to balance the old with the new. Then, in places like Arunachal Pradesh, you find communities that are still living as if they’re in the 19th century—isolated, with minimal access to modern amenities, and deeply rooted in traditional ways of life. The Journey: From Assam to Arunachal Pradesh My journey began in Dibrugarh, a city in Assam that epitomises the clash between the 20th and 21st centuries. Dibrugarh is a city of contrasts, where the crumbling infrastructure and bustling, noisy streets stand in stark contrast to the serene tea gardens that surround it. The tea plantations here feel like stepping into a romantic novel by R.K. Narayan, with vast fields of lush green, the quiet broken only by the gentle rustle of the wind and the sight of butterflies dancing in the air. It’s a silence that is rare in India, a country known for its ceaseless activity. Yet, beneath this idyllic surface lies a deep economic divide. The tea gardens of Assam are a microcosm of the inequalities that persist across India. On one hand, you have the wealthy plantation owners, whose sprawling estates and luxurious lifestyles are reminiscent of a bygone era. On the other, you have the tea pickers—mostly women—who toil in the fields, earning meagre wages for seriously arduous work. Tea estates in Assam The disparity between the owners and workers is stark.  The average daily wage for a tea worker in Assam is around ₹300 (approximately £3per day), a figure that highlights the poverty and what many call exploitation faced by these labourers. Of course, this statistic isn’t fully in keeping with the truth, as these labourers get given accommodation and rations of rice and grain as part of their package. Furthermore, these labourers are well organised and often flex their power to shut down factories should they feel that they are being mistreated. Yet, regardless of numbers, millions of workers in tea plantations lead peasantry lives. Meanwhile, the tea industry is worth around £3 billion, with India being one of the largest producers of tea in the world. But this is not a Dickensian tale about rich megalomanic landlords thieving off the hard graft of the poor. Far from it. Most tea plantation owners are struggling to make a profit themselves. Much of this tea is sold in the UK, or in Japan for as much as £10 for 200 grams. There are structural problems that are international, and India is caught in a serious wedge, which if not handled well could lead to social strife between the poor and the perceived land-owning classes. This glaring inequality is a reminder of how much work remains to be done internationally to make growth more inclusive. Then, as we crossed into Arunachal Pradesh, the landscape changed dramatically. The roads became narrower and rougher, winding through dense forests and steep hills. The air grew cooler, and the environment seemed to grow wilder with each passing mile. Arunachal Pradesh is one of the most ecologically diverse regions in India, home to a stunning array of flora and fauna. The beauty of the place is breathtaking—tall trees tower overhead, while streams and rivers weave their way through valleys, bringing life to the land. Yet, despite its natural richness, the poverty here is striking. India does not prioritise education anywhere near as it ought to. This is evident in Arunachal Pradesh, where schools are few and far between, and many children don’t receive even basic education. According to government statistics, the literacy rate in Arunachal Pradesh is just 66%, significantly lower than the national average of 74%. The lack of educational infrastructure in this region is a stark reminder of the deep inequalities that persist in India. The Reality: Life in the 19th Century As we travelled deeper into the hills, it became clear that life here has changed little over the past century. Villages are small and scattered, with houses made of bamboo and thatch. Amenities like electricity and clean water are rare, and healthcare facilities are almost non-existent. The people here live close to the land, practicing traditional agriculture and hunting, but they are largely disconnected from the rapid growth seen in the rest of the country. Traditional home in Arunachal Pradesh. Skills development in India in large parts of the country is

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The Indian State: An Intrusive Legacy with Lofty Goals

Author: sachin nandha, trustee and director The concept of the state has long been a subject of deep inquiry and analysis, from the works of classical political philosophers to modern-day commentators. A state, fundamentally, is composed of several critical pillars—the judiciary, military, bureaucracy, and often an elite class that holds significant influence. However, the essence of a state, as postulated by Max Weber, is its monopoly on the legitimate use of physical force within its territory. It exists to protect its territorial integrity, enforce the rule of law, and create an environment conducive to the flourishing of its citizens. Ideally, taxation in such a state is a tool, not for enrichment, but to provide essential services and infrastructure that enable citizens to pursue their endeavours freely and effectively. Yet, the Indian state, though it shares these fundamental characteristics, has evolved into something far more complex and, some might argue, intrusive. Rooted in a unique historical context, the Indian state has grown into an entity designed to socially engineer its population, specifically targeting entrenched inequalities within Hindu society. This objective, while noble in its intent, has manifested in a state apparatus that is, at times, paternalistic and prone to overreach.   The Origins of the Indian State The Indian state did not emerge in a vacuum. Its modern incarnation is a direct descendant of both British colonial rule and the earlier Mughal administration. The British colonial state, as famously critiqued by Indian leaders like Jawaharlal Nehru and B.R. Ambedkar, was primarily an extractive one, designed to siphon wealth from the Indian populace to serve the interests of the Empire. Nehru, in his seminal work The Discovery of India, lamented how “India was bled” by the colonial administration, which left behind a legacy of underdevelopment and exploitation. This colonial state was built on the remnants of the Mughal administration, which itself was a hierarchical and often autocratic system, albeit with a more feudal character. The British adapted and expanded this system to create a highly centralized and bureaucratic state apparatus, one that was deeply suspicious of the populace and heavily reliant on coercion to maintain order. When India gained independence in 1947, it inherited this centralized structure. However, the new leaders of India were determined to use the state not as a tool of extraction, but as an instrument of social transformation. This vision was encapsulated by B.R. Ambedkar, the principal architect of the Indian Constitution, who envisioned the state as a mechanism to uplift the oppressed and eradicate the deeply entrenched caste system. Ambedkar famously stated, “Political democracy cannot last unless there lies at the base of it social democracy,” highlighting the intertwined nature of social and political justice in the Indian context. Ambedkar, the man who opposed Gandhi, and saw the State as essentially one that engineers a society.   The Indian State: A Tool for Social Engineering In pursuit of these transformative goals, the Indian state adopted a policy of affirmative action, or what is often referred to as “positive discrimination.” This was designed to uplift historically marginalized communities, particularly Dalits (formerly known as Untouchables) and other Scheduled Castes and Tribes. These policies were seen as necessary to rectify centuries of systemic oppression and to ensure that all citizens, regardless of their social background, could participate in the democratic process as equals. However, these well-intentioned policies also led to the creation of a state that is far more interventionist than many of its counterparts. The Indian state’s role extends beyond the typical functions of maintaining law and order or providing public goods. It has actively sought to reshape the social fabric of the nation, to eradicate caste-based discrimination, and to promote a more egalitarian society. As Nehru himself declared in a speech in 1950, “The service of India means the service of the millions who suffer. It means ending poverty and ignorance and disease and inequality of opportunity.” But the approach taken by the state has also been marked by a certain paternalism, rooted in the belief that the state knows what is best for its citizens. This has led to a tendency to impose top-down solutions without always taking into account the diverse needs and desires of India’s vast population. The state’s social engineering efforts, while aimed at promoting equality, have at times been criticized for stifling individual initiative and perpetuating a culture of dependency.   Extractive Practices: A Contemporary Example The extractive tendencies of the Indian state are not just relics of the past but can be observed in contemporary examples as well. A striking case of this was seen during the COVID-19 pandemic, which revealed how certain state government practices can be more extractive than enabling. In March 2020, just before the nationwide lockdown was imposed, many state governments renewed liquor licenses for restaurants and bars, collecting hefty fees from business owners. This was a significant expense for small restaurant owners, who paid these fees with the expectation that they would be able to operate their businesses as usual. However, within weeks, the government imposed a complete lockdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic, forcing all restaurants and bars to shut down indefinitely. The lockdown continued for months, with no refunds or concessions provided to the business owners who had just paid for their liquor licenses. Thousands of small restaurants were left high and dry, unable to operate yet burdened with the cost of licenses they could not use. This was not just a case of bad timing; it highlighted the extractive nature of the state’s approach, where revenue collection took precedence over fair treatment of citizens. This situation exemplifies the systemic issues within the Indian state where the common citizen often finds themselves powerless against the machinery of government. The lack of recourse or accountability in such situations underscores the state’s tendency to act in its own financial interest, often at the expense of those it is meant to serve. Such practices erode trust in the state and reinforce the perception that the government is

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Accountability, Participation and Civic Education: The Roadmap Towards Sustainable Democracy? 

Author: Pravar Petkar, Head of Strengthening Democracy Desk In one of his first statements to Parliament as the new Prime Minister of the UK, Sir Keir Starmer referenced the lack of confidence in contemporary British politics, stating that “the need to restore trust should weigh heavily on every Member here, new and returning alike.” This is an ongoing issue: recent surveys by the Pew Research Center suggest that satisfaction with democracy in the UK has declined from 60% in 2021 to only 39% in 2024; the US has seen a fall from 41% to 31%, whilst France has dropped from 44% to 35%. Across the Channel, following gains for the far-right in the 2024 EU elections, some commentators have pointed to a divide between pro-democracy and anti-democracy factions in Europe. We are confronted by an urgent need to restore trust in our politicians and the very democratic systems in which they operate. Revitalising and regenerating contemporary democracies, I believe, must be underpinned by three central principles: accountability, participation and civic education.  Accountability  There is a worrying trend the world over in leaders seeking to evade the checks and balances on power. Recently, a British Prime Minister was found to have misled Parliament on the upholding of COVID-19 regulations. The former UK government’s ‘Rwanda Scheme’ for asylum seekers was pushed forward in reckless disregard of international law, as upheld by the UK Supreme Court itself. The Election Commission of India appears to have been politicised, judging by its lax responses to religiously divisive rhetoric from PM Modi during the recent election campaign, whilst Poland’s former ruling dispensation (the Law and Justice Party) enacted a series of reforms politicising the judiciary before losing power in late 2023. Few will forget the events of 6 January 2021, when supporters of President Trump stormed the Capitol to halt the peaceful transfer of power following President Biden’s confirmation.  Any successful and sustainable democracy needs robust checks and balances on power. The UK’s historical reliance on norms of good conduct – the ‘good chaps’ theory of government  – has proven unable to stem the tide; stronger restrictions are required, whether enforced by the courts or other independent bodies. These checks and balances have a dual role: to ensure citizens’ survival and so that they can have genuine influence over the state. The state must uphold those fundamental human rights necessary for the people it governs to harmoniously coexist, and which provide the essential conditions for democratic government to continue, including freedom of speech and freedom of assembly within reasonable limits. International human rights law cannot be seen simply as a needless check on power; it instead guarantees the conditions for the state to fulfil its purpose, making a culture of respect for international law – one which has been lacking recently in the UK – essential to ensure government is held to account.   Moreover, our electoral systems must reflect citizens’ policy preferences as closely and proportionately as possible: government is, after all, ‘for the people’. Citizens should, periodically, be able to have a say on how their society is structured and governed: models such as the US Constitution, under which change is so difficult as to be virtually impossible, are no longer sustainable. Rights to protest and assemble must always be available as a last resort to push elected officials towards change, but we cannot fall back on these options too often: our democratic systems must ensure citizens have regular opportunities to hold politicians to account.  Participation  Today, government is supposed to be for the people and is certainly framed as being ‘of the people’, but it is rarely by the people. The extent of most citizens’ democratic engagement is limited to the election of representatives at local, regional and national levels every few years. Yet the tide is now starting to turn. There is increasing experimentation with new mechanisms of participation such as citizens’ assemblies, the most well-known of which is perhaps that held in Ireland on abortion in 2018. There have been notable referendums, including the 2016 EU referendum in the UK, and even the crowdsourcing of new constitutional proposals in Iceland in 2012. Our world is starting to think beyond the representative democratic paradigm that has dominated our politics for the last 75 years.  If our democracies are to sustain themselves into the future, there must be more opportunities for citizen participation on a range of issues, from both difficult and controversial moral problems to local challenges. This is not a call for elected representatives to abdicate their responsibilities – we will still need elected politicians to stand up for our interests on common national and international issues. Yet it is becoming clearer that on a range of issues, giving the people more of a voice has great benefits. These range from enhancing policy debate by crystallising consensus on reform, to developing citizen awareness on key issues such as climate change and cultivating a sense of civic responsibility and social welfare. Our contemporary toolkit is no longer limited to in-person gatherings across weekends. Citizens’ panels and assemblies were moved online during the COVID-19 pandemic, whilst Estonia and Taiwan have led the way in creating online platforms where citizens can make and vote on policy proposals. The future is one of distributed networks for proposing and voting on legislative amendments, online participatory communities to review executive decision-making and even novel deliberative systems on bespoke online platforms, using the latest developments in generative AI to facilitate discussions, aggregate preferences and more. Whilst standing on a busy main road with a placard will not lose its significance overnight, the future of democratic participation is increasingly likely to be a digital one.  Civic Education  If people are to be well equipped to participate in public debate on key policy issues, our education systems must be in good working order. We are beset by misinformation – not only through clever political advertising and the use of ‘deepfake’ technology, but also on the social media platforms that increasingly

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Catalyst for Change: Addressing the Systemic Failures Behind the Tragedy at RG Kar Medical College

Author: Chloe Schuber, Operations Assistant : Strengthening Democracy Desk The recent tragedy which took place on Friday 9th August, where a young female post-graduate trainee (PGT) doctor was brutally raped and murdered while on duty at the RG Kar Medical College in Kolkata, has deeply impacted and scarred the Indian nation’s conscience. What does this crime mean for Indian society, and what policy and societal reforms are being prioritized in response to this crisis? This incident has reawakened, with a newfound strength, calls to reflect on the failure of law enforcement as well as one for systemic change across multiple facets of Indian society. A Call for Immediate Government Action The need is clear for an immediate and robust response from the central government. Justice must be served effectively and in such a clear manner that this case becomes a genuine deterrent or sets a national precedent, rather than becoming just another instance of violence against women. The investigation has been transferred to the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) due to concerns over the local police’s mishandling of the case, potential evidence destruction, and the lack of progress in the five days following the incident. A statement by Prime Minister Modi was issued on 15th August, answering the nation’s at times adamant needs for a response condemning this violence, alongside ensuring that justice will be served and pushing for a united stance against gender-based violence. Modi said, ‘There is anger among the common people. I can feel this anger. […] The country, society and our state governments will have to take this seriously. It is important that those who commit demonic acts should be given severe punishment as soon as possible to build trust in the society.’ Protecting Healthcare Workers Following this incident, both women and the medical community as a whole have launched widespread protests. Healthcare professionals in India, especially women, are increasingly vulnerable to violence; a 2015 survey revealed 75% of this demographic had been victim of some form of violence. Unfortunately, no other significant data sets appear to address this prevalent issue, highlighting the need for further research. The need for a Union legislation to protect medical staff accordingly is ever so urgent. 25 of India’s States and Union Territories do have some laws in that regard, but they are poorly enforced with little to no convictions and therefore, no effective deterrent. The proposed Central Protection Act (CPA) – introduced in the lower house of Parliament (the Lok Sabha) in 2022 but never enacted – aimed to address these issues by making violence against healthcare workers a non-bailable offence, improving CCTV installations, conducting security audits, and even providing security personnel in hospitals. However, the CPA was not enacted. One reason for this was that, when presented in Parliament, then-health minister Mansukh Mandaviya stated that the government opted not to pursue it, since most of its objectives were already addressed by the Epidemic Diseases (Amendment) Ordinance 2020. This decision highlights systemic issues within Indian governance, including a lack of sustained political will, bureaucratic barriers, and poor coordination between stakeholders, often at the expense of more immediate concerns. The complexity of state-level laws and the Indian healthcare system further complicates the creation of a comprehensive and enforceable national law. Reforming Healthcare Institutions The incident at RG Kar Medical College highlights the urgent need for reforms to ensure the safety of healthcare workers, particularly in government hospitals. India is experiencing a shortage of healthcare professionals, especially in these facilities, where staff are often overworked. To address this, the Prime Minister recently announced the addition of 75,000 medical college seats over the next five years, anticipating a 100 percent increase in demand for healthcare professionals by 2030. Beyond expanding the workforce, hospitals must improve working conditions by providing safe sleeping arrangements for female doctors, enhancing security through CCTV installations, and establishing quick response teams. Ensuring a supportive and secure environment is crucial for women in this demanding field. Education as a Catalyst for Changing Societal Attitudes Education is a powerful tool for combating gender-based violence, driving cultural shifts that can lead to lasting change. By focusing on consent, respect, and gender equality, comprehensive education can challenge societal norms like the objectification of women and dismantle patriarchal attitudes that contribute to misogyny and violence. A new generation raised with these values can elevate standards of equality and human dignity on a national scale. However, education alone is not enough; it must work in tandem with legal deterrents to provide a holistic solution. The issue of violence against healthcare professionals is part of a broader problem affecting all women in India, reflecting an entrenched patriarchal mindset that normalises such violence. To address this, we must challenge and dismantle the victim-blaming culture and outdated gender roles that persist in society. The challenge is that large parts of India still function with a 19th-century mindset, which complicates the nation’s progress on various fronts. This coexistence of different ‘centuries’ within the same geography makes it difficult to achieve uniform development, as the more advanced 21st-century ideals are often overshadowed by outdated norms and practices. Media, government, and civil society must collaborate to shift societal norms and attitudes, engaging local communities in discussions about gender equality and fostering grassroots movements. Involving men and boys in these initiatives is crucial. Additionally, fostering a sense of community responsibility is essential. By encouraging community vigilance, training individuals to recognize and intervene in situations of violence, and providing support to victims, we can create safer environments for women. A Path Forward The tragedy reminds us of both the stark reality of the vulnerability both women and healthcare professionals face in India as well as the immediate need for a systemic change. While the immediate focus is on rapidly ensuring justice for the victim and her family, hopefully setting a strong precedent, we must also focus more than ever on changing the systemic issues that contributed to this death. Strong policies are to be implemented to protect healthcare workers, education on

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